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NFL transparent results

NFL betting model results and ROINFL Recommendations, graded.

Review the published NFL recommendation record across moneyline, spread, and total markets, including graded selections, units, ROI, and tracked coverage. NFL and NCAAF recommendations remain in the record after replacement or withdrawal. The cross-sport Best Bets board does not create duplicate results.

Games analyzed131Priced matchups in this view
SLS Recommendations69Issued recommendations in this view
Recommendation rate52.67%Recommendations ÷ games analyzed
Record26-30-056 graded selections
Units-1.58uOne-unit grading
ROI-2.82%56u risked
Average price+108Selection-weighted payout
Tracked coverageAug 6, 2026 – Oct 19, 2026Ledger synced Oct 13, 2026, 5:20 AM UTC

Games analyzed counts distinct priced matchups, and a game can be analyzed without producing a recommendation. NFL and NCAAF results include every issued recommendation at its original line and price, including replacements, withdrawals and suspensions. Each publication counts once; a later reissue is a separate publication, so recommendation counts can exceed the number of games with a pick. Big Board membership does not create another result. Historical coverage can be partial and date-specific.

Cumulative one-unit result-1.58u
Aug 6, 2026 – Oct 19, 2026
Sport breakdown

Results by league

SportRecordUnitsROISample
NFL26-30-0-1.58u-2.82%56
Recent grading

Latest selections

Pending
SF -7.5NFL · WAS at SF · Oct 19, 2026
-1080.00u
Pending
Under 52.5NFL · DAL at GB · Oct 18, 2026
-1140.00u
Pending
LV MLNFL · BUF at LV · Oct 18, 2026
+1970.00u
Pending
Under 45.5NFL · LAC at KC · Oct 18, 2026
-1100.00u
Pending
Under 43.5NFL · LAC at KC · Oct 18, 2026
-1080.00u
Pending
Over 42.5NFL · CAR at PHI · Oct 18, 2026
-1100.00u
Pending
Over 42.5NFL · CAR at PHI · Oct 18, 2026
-1100.00u
Pending
NYG MLNFL · NO at NYG · Oct 18, 2026
-1150.00u
Pending
NYG MLNFL · NO at NYG · Oct 18, 2026
-1010.00u
Pending
Under 44.5NFL · NYJ at NE · Oct 18, 2026
-1100.00u
Issued football recommendations

Every published pick stays in the record

NFL and NCAAF picks are graded at the line and price first published. Replaced, withdrawn and suspended picks retain their results. A later recommendation is a separate publication; showing the same pick on multiple boards does not count it again.

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Methodology

One transparent recommendation record

NFL and NCAAF live results preserve every issued recommendation at the price first published, even when a later board replaces or withdraws it. Wins and losses follow the same rule. For historical datasets, the highest-quality complete source is chosen once per matchup and overlapping games are counted once. Each graded recommendation risks one unit. Missing historical card dates are not filled with inferred customer recommendations.

Performance definitions

How to read these results.

These definitions apply to the public SLS Recommendation record and the active filters shown above.

Record
Wins–losses–pushes for graded selections published as official SLS Recommendations.
Replacements
NFL and NCAAF recommendations remain in the record at their original line and price after replacement, withdrawal or suspension. A new publication counts separately; repeat appearances of the same publication do not.
Win rate
Wins divided by wins plus losses. Pushes are excluded from the calculation.
Units
Every public SLS Recommendation is graded as risking one unit at its published price. A loss is −1.00u, a win earns profit according to the published odds, and a push returns 0.00u.
ROI
Net units won or lost divided by total units risked, expressed as a percentage.
Recommendations / sample
Recommendations is the number of official selections within the active filters. Sample is the number already graded and represented in the record, units, and ROI.
Coverage
The date range for which eligible recommendation data exists in the selected view. It does not imply that every league game produced—or was required to produce—a recommendation.
Partial coverage
A sport’s record may begin after the start of its season when eligible SLS Recommendations were not published during an earlier period.

Published historical outcomes are not rewritten after later model changes, and missing historical periods are not filled with invented customer recommendations.